23-24
Poker Ride Snowpack Check
We rode up to the Indepedence Mine area (outside our advisory area) to check out the snowpack conditions before the Poker Ride this Saturday. As we arrived in the basin we saw a good sized recent natural avalanche. This really tells you all you need to know - recent avalanches are the clearest sign that triggering more avalanches is possible.
We then dug and confirmed that the snowpack is just as weak as it is across our advisory area. Two feet of fist hardness facets at the ground with almost four feet of slab above them make for a very weak structure.
If you're headed up for the ride this weekend I'd advise avoiding riding on and staying out from under slopes steeper than 30 degrees.
Kept it Conservative
We toured to the east shoulder of Divide Peak today, 02/22/2024. We saw several natural avalanches on the north-facing terrain in Divide Cirque, below Hyalite Peak, and Overlook Mountain. These avalanches likely happened following a storm near the end of last week. Near the base of Divide, we dug on a SE-facing slope at 9300' and had a stability score of ECTP30. From here, we continued up the shoulder, trying our best to stay on slopes near 30 degrees in steepness. At the top of the shoulder on an east slope at 9600', we dug another pit and found 133 cm of snow and had a stability score of ECTP20. In both our snowpits, we had a well-defined layer of weak faceted snow buried 2-3 feet deep. This is the layer our stability tests failed on.
During our tour, we saw no cracking or collapsing, but recent natural avalanches near us and the large natural avalanche seen on Mt. Bole a few days ago encouraged us to keep our terrain choices conservative. We skied down near our skin track one at a time and avoided areas with terrain traps like gullies, cliffs, and thick trees below.
Bacon Rind Test Scores and Observations
My brother and I toured into the skillet at Bacon Rind. We dug a pit at the top of the skillet, east aspect, 9000 feet. Total snow depth was 115cm. We observed CT14 and ECTP25, 2.5 feet or 75 cm down, propagating on large old facets below a hard slab. That slab was dense and carrying some energy when collapsed in our column tests. We also observed multiple suspected week old natural avalanches on northeast aspects.
Quiet in the Tobacco Roots
Long tour up the Noble Fork yesterday. The two feet of recent snow have much improved travel conditions. I noticed no bullseye signs of surface instabilities, asides from some old crowns on a very steep, north facing slope at treeline (~9000'). There was also some localized collapsing in windboard at higher elevations, and lots of rollerballs releasing from cliffs with solar aspects. I did not have time for a pit, so focused on avoiding connected avalanche terrain, and the runouts of larger solar paths.
Large Avalanche on Sawtooth Mountain
Photo of an avalanche observed yesterday (2/22) on the SW face of Sawtooth Mountain at about 10,600’. Looks to be a few days old, but hard to tell since all skier traffic from the weekend has been erased with Tuesday’s wind/precip. If you look closely, you can see the crown extends across the entire face.
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Thu Feb 22, 2024
<p>Dangerous avalanche conditions exist in the mountains south of Bozeman through Island Park and Cooke City. Human-triggered avalanches are likely. <em>Yesterday was one of two days since January 4,</em> with no avalanche activity or red flags of instability recorded in our <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/weather/wx-avalanche-log"><strong><span>wea… and avalanche log</span></strong></a>. On many days during this month-and-a-half period, the log overflowed with activity. While yesterday's inactivity is encouraging, receiving fewer <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/snow-observations-list"><strong><span>obser…; on the Wednesday after a holiday weekend is hardly surprising.</p>
<p>Persistent weak layers buried 2-4 feet deep are the culprit for the widespread and consistent instability. This weekend, backcountry travelers reported many human-triggered and natural avalanches across the advisory area; there were close calls, and a rider deployed their airbag when they got caught in a slide in the Taylor Fork (<a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30839"><strong><span>details</span></s…;). Thankfully everyone walked away. Review the dozens of avalanches, stomach-dropping collapses, and shooting cracks in recent entries to the <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/avalanche-activity"><strong><span>avalanche activity log</span></strong></a>. Traveling on slopes steeper than 30 degrees is dangerous, as is traveling immediately below steep terrain due to concerns about remotely triggering avalanches from below or nearby areas, as Doug and Alex experienced near <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30869"><strong><span>Cedar Mountain</span></strong></a> on Saturday (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_d5_vlY-bjg"><strong><span>use the 20-30 Rule</span></strong></a>).</p>
<p>Make a travel plan recreate on slopes 30 degrees or less as we impatiently wait for stability to improve and diligently stick with that plan while you are in the backcountry (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tk29_PioWvQ">Cooke City video</a>, <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7ev8ez5wTvU">Bacon Rind video</a></strong>).</p>
<p>The danger is rated CONSIDERABLE.</p>
<p>Human-triggered avalanches are possible in the Bridger Range. Two large avalanches failed this weekend on <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30935"><strong><span>Bridger Peak</span></strong></a> and <a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/30937"><strong><span>south of Saddle Peak</span></strong></a>, and the snowpack structure is weak. However, we have generally observed less recent avalanche activity and fewer signs of instability, such as collapsing and shooting cracks in the Bridger Range than the rest of the advisory area. If you are considering stepping into steeper terrain, Ian wisely advised an incremental approach rather than jumping in headfirst (<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vD42TrROj7k"><strong><span>video</span>…;). Tiptoe into lower-angle avalanche terrain while avoiding high-consequence areas with terrain traps or recent wind-loading (i.e., Saddle Peak, where there was recent avalanche activity).</p>
<p>Evaluate the snowpack by testing for instability and carefully consider terrain choices working to avoid features of concern before proceeding. Watch for signs of limited wet snow instability in south-facing terrain during the heat of the day.</p>
<p>The danger is rated MODERATE.</p>
Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events
Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar.
Friday evening and Saturday, February 23 and 24. Companion Rescue Course. More information and registration HERE.